Dublin Airport Terminal 1 Pier B on a Sunday Afternoon |
The Irish Financial crisis of 2008 and subsequent recession which caused an economic contraction of 14% has an adverse impact on air travel demand coped with cost inflation from the €3 Air Travel Tax & the increased DAA pricing introduced in 2009 to fund airport develpments. Since the downturn began in 2008 traffic at
The loss of 4,500 jobs can be directly correlated to the loss of passenger traffic as 1 million passengers = 1,000 jobs (ACI ) accordingly per 1 million passenger decline would lead to the loss of 1,000 jobs.The closure of SR Technics Ireland Ltd operation in 2009 with the loss of 1,200 jobs although some of these have been recovered through new jobs in Aer Lingus Ireland, Dublin Aerospace, Eirtech, M50 Limited.
Therefore a new stimulus plan is now required to restore
Dublin Airport Terminal 1 Pier D on a Sunday Afternoon |
Dublin Airport Terminal 1 Departures on a Saturday Evening |
Terminal 2 is well placed for future growth with Aer Lingus leveraging its network for connections and the expansion of Etihad Airways is expected to increase to double daily next year from 10 to 14 weekly flights, and Emirates Airlines is to increase capacity on the route from an Airbus A330-200 to a Boeing 777-300ER from the 1st of July.United Airlines is to launch a new daily service to Washington Dulles from the 9th of June, and US Airways increasing its service to Philadelphia to double daily at the weekends.
Dublin Airport Mezzaine Level on a Saturday Evening |
Market Trends:
-The Airport regulatory framework is changing in
-The increasing trend of seasonality to a summer peak business of T1 customers (Blue Air, Iberia Airlines, Lufthansa, SAS Airlines, THY Turkish Airlines) (Summer Peak/Winter Valley) , the opposite of MRO Model (Winter Peak/Summer Valley). Implications for T1 efficiency & model of operation.
-The Trend of customers moving from IT package to Hybird & LCC Carriers for summer breaks. Thomas Cook reported a 33% decline in Summer bookings.
-Airline conslidation BMI Airlines currently using T1 is to be acquired by IAG subject to EU Commission approval a decision expected on the 16th of March.
-The growing trend of airlines to use mobile device for check-in and boarding process (Infrastructure).
Dublin Airport T1 & T2 Options:
-To examine T1 differential pricing.
-The creation of a new DAA company to run Terminal 1-A new business model.
-To launch new off-peak discounting charges for T1 & T2.
-Introduce new incentives to extend Seasonal routes into the winter schedule in collobration with Tourism Ireland.
-To Launch an new long-term route incentive scheme for base deals to existing and new airlines in excess of 3/5 year agreements for short & long-haul routes currently on offer.
-The re-development of Terminal 1 into a dedicated low-cost facility to reflect market segmentation as is the case with primary airports across Europe i.e. Amsterdam, Barcelona & Paris CDG T3.
-The Commission for Aviation Regulation should undertake a mid-term review of the existing CAR 2010-2014 price-contol period.
–The Commission for Aviation Regulation should be re-directed by the Department of Transport to engage with stakeholders in aviation industry to grow passenger volume at the airport to drive GDP Growth.
-The Dublin City Mayor should be given a greater role in the economic development of
-The development of the Cargo market segment to leverage the export lead recovery.
-Mandate Fingal County Council & Enterprise Ireland/IDA to develop ancillary business at the airport aircraft developing market segments: FBO Operations, Aircraft Leasing, MRO operations, Aviation R&D and the establish of an small business micro center to encourage business activity.
-Establish of a new tax-free zone at the airport to develop an ‘Aviation center of excellence’ for existing and new start-up aviation companies.
The status quo cannot continue at Dublin Airport as passenger traffic levels will be challenged by the rapid pace of airline consolidation and weak economic conditions, as driving lower unit costs will take centre stage for airlines in a increasingly competitive environment, the airport is an integral part of the supply chain needs to adjust accordingly.
“When their is competition there is evolution”-Seth Godin
An interesting report from Anna.Aero puts
http://www.anna.aero/2012/02/15/european-airport-traffic-up-7pc-in-2011-to-over-1-6-billion-passengers/
Irish Aviation Research Institute © 14th Feburary 2012 All Rights Reserved.